Paul's Props and Touchdowns: 2025 Week 9

Paul's Props and Touchdowns: 2025 Week 9 | Fantasy Points

Paul Kelly analyzes Fantasy Points projections to uncover significant discrepancies, aiming to identify the best player prop and touchdown bets.

Player Props Record Overview

2021 Record: 75-47 (61.5%)
2022 Record: 85-68 (55.6%)
2023 Record: 79-59 (57.2%)
2024 Record: 70-50 (58.3%)
2025 Record: 32-18 (64.0%, +10.21 units)

Weekly Recommendations

Each week, Paul shares player prop bets based on mismatches in projections and “anytime” touchdown scorer bets. Week 8 marked the first losing record of the season, but Week 9 aims to return to a winning pace.

Methodology Behind the Bets

To gain an edge over sportsbooks, Paul began by manually comparing John Hansen’s player projections with bookmaker player props. Identifying the largest gaps between these numbers highlights the best betting opportunities. Initially, this process required significant manual research, but now a proprietary prop finder tool automates the search.

"I use the tool to find the biggest discrepancies, and then I decide which props I like best – shopping the various books for the most favorable odds, of course."

This approach combines data analysis with odds shopping to optimize betting value.

Author's summary: Paul Kelly uses advanced projection comparisons and a prop finder tool to identify profitable player prop and touchdown bets, maintaining a strong record through 2025 Week 9.

Fantasy Points — 2025-11-01